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The only way I can see sponsors lowering payouts is if they do it on a case by case basis.
Foreign webmasters that don't need to comply will have their pick of the litter and be able to demand quite a bit from sponsors courting their business and loyalty. These people are no way in hell going to accept reduced payouts.
On the other end of the spectrum you'll have Joe Webmaster from Middleton,OH who sends 7 sign-ups per pay period and needs to use free content and has to comply with all the 2257 regs... these guys unfortunately will almost have to take a cut in pay if they don't want to risk the sponsor dropping them completely.
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