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It would seem inevitable. The US has restrictions on what can and cannot be published in both traditional media and on the internet. Minors aren't supposed to see x-rated movies or buy x-rated magazines. Why should an x-rated web site be any different?
What pornography 'is' has already been defined, internet pornography is no different than traditional pornography in my mind. Of course its defnition will always be changing with the social norms of the times and place but I don't see why it shouldn't apply to pornography on the internet as well as published media.
So yes, I do think that the US, UK, Canada, etc, etc, etc will all expect some manner of adult verification in order to access adult content on the internet. And frankly it sounds good to me. I don't have any children (knock knock on wood ;-) but if I did I wouldn't want them going to the store to buy adult magazines, renting porn movies or browsing porn web sites. A little tease? sure. Peeking at the cover of a saucy magazine off of the top rack? what the heck. A steamy 3 page tour? ok... adds spice to growing pains. Full hardcore midget gangbangs? er... are you over 18 yet?
I don't know if the existing AVS systems are right or wrong for the job. Probably better than nothing. I know that you don't need a credit card to get a CyberAge membership, they've got a mail-in option (send them a copy of your drivers license).
cheers
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