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Well, born here, raised here, and I have moved back here three times now... but I would suspect the end is near... *sigh*.
Basically, the collapse of this federal parliment will very likely be the end of national political parties and a move to regional parties. This will lead to endless minority governments, and an endless series of elections that will serve only to frustate and alienate everyone involved. Quebec seperation would only be a side issue when compared to the total dissolution of the federal system as it has existed. The traditional british partlimentary system fails when faced with repeated minority governments.
What you will get is this: The conservatives will get most of the west, the NDP will get some seats here and there, the bloquists will get a huge majority of quebec seats, the conservatives and liberals will split ontario, and the east will be mostly liberal and NDP. At the end of the day, we will likely get a conservative minority supported by nobody else, which will once again fail as soon as a budget is put forward unless then bend over and lick the bloquists asses. Then we get to have another election, the cards will shuffle slightly, and probably we will get a liberal minority supported by nobody that will once again fail.
In the mean time, new "national" parties will emerge that will be supported by nobody.
Liberal party of quebec will get kicked out of office in the next quebec election, replaced by an PQ government that will use the federal situation to quickly call a referendum, which will succeed, and quebec will move to leave the federation.
Total run time is about 3 - 4 years.
LIberal party of Canada is going down the same road as the PC party did in the past, and they died a horrible death... the end is near.
Thank god I have british citizenship too.
Alex
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