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Old 02-23-2005, 05:42 PM  
kane
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Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: portland, OR
Posts: 20,684
Quote:
Originally Posted by WarChild
Not in the last 50 years or so. Other than Bill Clinton, how many Democrats have been president in the last 25 years? Before Ronald Reagan, how far do you have to go back to find a Republican President?
here is a great list.
http://www.laughtergenealogy.com/bin...o/history.html
it shows all the presidents, in order of when they were elected and what party they were under. Now look at it. You can see the trend. It seems to rotate. Once one party has been in power for a while, it seems there time comes to an end and the people want a change. This is not true 100% of the time but it is true much of the time. In the last 100 years if count from Theodore Roosevelt in 1901 to Clinton the repubs have held the white house for 52 years and the dems for 48 years. Each party has thier time when they have a decent run, but the one thing that always holds true is the people want change. Right now the repubs are in a strong place. They had reagan and then bush. You could argue that bush won as much on reagans popularity and a dislike for dukakis as he did on his own agenda just the same as you could say Kerry got as many votes as he did in the last election not because people liked him, but because they didn't like bush.

As far a recent history, GW Bush is a great example of taking advantage of the peoples want for change. Clinton was a popular president when he left office. The economy was strong, for the most part the world was at peace ( as much as it ever can me ) and things were looking good. GW was a terrible candidate from a typical point of view. He was a guy that handed everything in his life. He failed at everything he ever did and was one of the worst govenors in the nation. And yet he still won and the election was very close. By all rights he should have gotten destroyed in the election, but the people wanted something new and were willing to give him a shot.

I'm not saying hilliary can win or will win. But I think, given the correct environment anything is possible
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