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Old 12-17-2004, 07:15 PM  
X37375787
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It seems just way too convenient to believe that you will have a fiddy/fiddy chance to pick the right door. But the problem is...

the second pick is DEPENDENT on the first one

And nobody has mentioned this yet.

It is NOT an independent draw in the second round. If it were, then yes .5 chance for each door.

But it ain't. Case closed.
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