Quote:
Originally posted by Fake Nick
you have 50 % chance that your 33% wins when there are two options
claiming that you should change based on the 66% chance of winning is claiming that your 66% is equal to 100%
and yet again that is based on one try
|
no
you have a 33% chance of your 33% chance hitting
thats why it is a 33% chance
the number of elements (two boxes) does not alter the ultimate probability of the entire equation