Quote:
Originally posted by ytcracker
not really
ok assume the host is completely honest
hard to believe
but he will offer you the choice to switch regardless
there are 2/3 empty boxes
and 1/3 prize boxes
if you select the prize on your first try
the host has the discretion to reveal EITHER empty box
therefore when you switch you will lose
if you select an EMPTY box, there is only ONE other box that the host can possibly reveal - there is ALWAYS going to be two empty boxes
when you switch on EITHER empty box you will get the prize
2/3 = 66% chance of winning
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nope not true ,
it is 50%
I compare this to asci code back in the day 10101010101
1 = you win
0 = you lose
you claim there is 66% chance it will become 1 if you change
but there are only two options 1 or 0 and thus it could be either way since it is ONE case and not hundreds of them
if you would play this prize game 100 times you should indeed switch
if you play the prize game once you have no reason too