Quote:
Originally posted by Fake Nick
I grasp it now how they spin it mathematically but in a real life situation it wouldn't matter if you switched
you know that they always pick the one that is empty first , so you know you start out with a 50% chance
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not really
ok assume the host is completely honest
hard to believe
but he will offer you the choice to switch regardless
there are 2/3 empty boxes
and 1/3 prize boxes
if you select the prize on your first try
the host has the discretion to reveal EITHER empty box
therefore when you switch you will lose
if you select an EMPTY box, there is only ONE other box that the host can possibly reveal - there is ALWAYS going to be two empty boxes
when you switch on EITHER empty box you will get the prize
2/3 = 66% chance of winning