Quote:
Originally posted by Kevsh
The poll results show what I always assumed was true ... that 50% of GFYers are a little slow (or at least 50% of those who voted in this poll) 
If there are 2 curtains and you have a choice at 1 of them, you have a 50% chance.
If you don't understand just re-state the question, but start with 10 boxes instead of 3. If the host removes 8 boxes, according to the logic of the post, you only have a 10% when there's 2 left? Hmmmm.
|
Yes, let's start with 10 boxes instead of 3. You choose 1, so you have a 10% chance.
Now, what you are saying is that if 8 empty boxes are removed non-randomly - which is completely possible whether you have picked the right box or not - by someone who knows what's in all boxes, your chance magically grows to 50%?
Think about what you're saying dude... imagine there being 3 boxes. You get one, I get two. In one of the boxes is a can of beer, in the others nothing.
If I look inside both my boxes, and toss one of them away, does that raise your chance of having the beer to 50%?
Ofcourse not!