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Originally posted by power182
Uh no, I already said that. You're the second one, not the first.
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No. Read your own post, and the mistake in it:
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This statistic would hold true if and only if the game show host did not know the results of each box. Knowing game shows this is not the case, they will always reveal an empty box first, this skews your stats and places them at a 50/50 chance. If they could possibilly open the one containing the cash on the first try then it would hold water. Bad example, should have placed it in a senerio where nobody knows the results before hand.
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You are saying that because it's NOT random, it's 50/50. However, the opposite is the case... because it's not random, it's 33.3r/66.6r.