Quote:
Originally posted by MaskedMan
I've seen that explanation before, and believe me... it does make sense, but is still incorrect.
Try not to think of it in terms of one person... think of it being two boxes.
Read my post... if there's someone at box #1 and someone at box #2... which one has the higher probability?
You assume that the chances are higher so long as one person is making a choice, but when two people are, you can easily see... the odds are even.
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That makes no sense at all. The variables are not the same with two people.
One person selects two boxes (by actually selecting 1 box) while the other person is stuck with only 1 box.
Look at it like this: You are trying to select 1 winning item out of 3 possible choices. If I give you one unknown box and keep two for myself, who has the better odds of winning? I have two chances of winning and you only one.
Adding a fictional third person completely changes the equation.