Quote:
Originally posted by ytcracker
silvertabs explanation is probably as simple as it gets
your choice is not 50/50
your initial choice was based on 3 boxes
the host will always show you that one box is empty
this makes perfect sense
do not think of this in terms of only two boxes
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I've seen that explanation before, and believe me... it does make sense, but is still incorrect.
Try not to think of it in terms of one person... think of it being two boxes.
Read my post... if there's someone at box #1 and someone at box #2... which one has the higher probability?
You assume that the chances are higher so long as one person is making a choice, but when two people are, you can easily see... the odds are even.