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Old 12-17-2004, 03:04 PM  
SilverTab
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Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: MTL
Posts: 5,060
Quote:
Originally posted by ytcracker
chodadog

your analysis is incorrect

the third box is incredibly significant it is the key to this whole thing

if the host chose any box at random, then it wouldnt matter

he doesnt though

he chooses an empty box 100% of the time

when you made your initial guess you chose the box based on a 1/3 assumption

not knowing anything about what your box or any other box contains

now when an empty is taken out of the picture, you are now switching based on a 66% chance because before you didnt know the box the host removed was empty

by switching to the other box, you are now basing your opinion because of the presense of the known empty, not 50/50 chance because you picked that box based on 1/3

im having a hard time explaining this...fuckfukcukcukf

I think I will give up!

although the proof has been made...(I even think it's quite easy to figure out) some will just never admit it LOL
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