View Single Post
Old 12-17-2004, 02:18 PM  
SilverTab
Confirmed User
 
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: MTL
Posts: 5,060
There is a 1/3 chance that you'll hit the prize door, and a 2/3 chance that you'll miss the prize. If you do not switch, 1/3 is your probability to get the prize. However, if you missed (and this with the probability of 2/3) then the prize is behind one of the remaining two doors. Furthermore, of these two, the host will open the empty one, leaving the prize door closed. Therefore, if you miss and then switch, you are certain to get the prize. Summing up, if you do not switch your chance of winning is 1/3 whereas if you do switch your chance of winning is 2/3.
__________________
mmm my sig was too big... no more cool animation
but hey still! need php? ICQ: 94586959
SilverTab is offline   Share thread on Digg Share thread on Twitter Share thread on Reddit Share thread on Facebook Reply With Quote