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Old 11-14-2004, 02:01 PM  
Libertine
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Join Date: May 2002
Posts: 17,860
Quote:
Originally posted by baddog
78% of all stats on GFY are pulled out of someone's ass.

FACT: The Republicans are not going to be the first one to put up a female (or black) candidate for president. That is like the KKK starting up a West Hollywood chapter. The first "serious" contender will be Democratic.

FACT: The black male had the right to vote before the white woman did. History repeats itself.
My ass.
I assumed that the percentage of the population certain groups make up are a rough indication of the percentage of potential votes they hold in society.
Although obviously not accurate, it illustrates the main point pretty well: female voters make up a much larger percentage of the total than black voters.

I agree with you saying that the reps probably won't be the first to nominate a female candidate (never say never though... in the UK, Thatcher was a conservative).
That wasn't the point, though. The point was that a strong republican female presidential candidate would have a very good chance of winning - as opposed to a democratic female presidential candidate, who wouldn't have a very good chance of winning.
The fact that a republican female presidential candidate would have very little chance of getting the nomination is a completely different point.


The fact that black males had the right to vote before women is completely irrelevant to this issue.

Black democratic presidential candidates have even less chance of winning the election than female democratic presidential candidates
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