GoFuckYourself.com - Adult Webmaster Forum - View Single Post - So Kerry is ahead in the final Predictions......

Hinc · 11-01-2004, 07:53 AM

Yes, very true.

The undecided voters will make it swing for Kerry, if they end up splitting 2:1 in his favour, as they´ve admittedly done statistically in earlier elections (which is also one of the differing factors between the current polls and predicted final at electoral-vote).

However, there´s a couple of unknowns in the scheme. Usually a high turnout would primarily benefit the challenger and the democrats particularly. But this time, ultra-rightwing & religious movements have recruited heavily to make extra voters vote for Bush. Furthermore Nader might do better than his projected 1% in certain swing states - such as Florida.

On top Bush might have an advantage in Florida - democratic ballots have been lost by the thousands, polling places have been placed as strategically far from typical democratic areas, in registration known democratic voters has had their voting place deliberately placed in the other end of the state, the republican headquarters has released lists of thousands of known democrats to be challenged when trying to vote (meaning they have to proof theyre actually legitimate voters) - the latter was documented by the BBC. It sounds like methods you´d expect to see in Kazaksthan or Iran, but still - it might be such little factors that hands over those 27 key electoral votes to Bush, fair or not.

11-01-2004, 07:53 AM
Hinc Confirmed User Join Date: Oct 2004 Posts: 2,577	Yes, very true. The undecided voters will make it swing for Kerry, if they end up splitting 2:1 in his favour, as they´ve admittedly done statistically in earlier elections (which is also one of the differing factors between the current polls and predicted final at electoral-vote). However, there´s a couple of unknowns in the scheme. Usually a high turnout would primarily benefit the challenger and the democrats particularly. But this time, ultra-rightwing & religious movements have recruited heavily to make extra voters vote for Bush. Furthermore Nader might do better than his projected 1% in certain swing states - such as Florida. On top Bush might have an advantage in Florida - democratic ballots have been lost by the thousands, polling places have been placed as strategically far from typical democratic areas, in registration known democratic voters has had their voting place deliberately placed in the other end of the state, the republican headquarters has released lists of thousands of known democrats to be challenged when trying to vote (meaning they have to proof theyre actually legitimate voters) - the latter was documented by the BBC. It sounds like methods you´d expect to see in Kazaksthan or Iran, but still - it might be such little factors that hands over those 27 key electoral votes to Bush, fair or not. __________________ webmaster @ adultlist. com AdultList.com - Directory Listings, Advertisements, Hardlinks Loasex.com - Directory and old school TGP - taking submits A few sales/opportunities: High Quality Guest Posts For Sale Network of Aged sites for sales. Get in touch on the email above for info.