Quote:
Originally posted by Hinc
However, statistically its a tie. Because some of the states that are giving Kerry this lead are so close, that they might indeed have Bush in the lead, as theyīre well within the margin of error (eg Florida - Kerry 50%, Bush 48%, Nader 1%). The trend has been though, that a thin lead for Bush has turned into a just as thin lead for Kerry in the latest weeks polls, and at least thatīs something - but I wouldnt open the champagne yet 
But letīs hope he keeps the lead when the real votes (those of them they can find that is) are counted - thatīll be something to celebrate.
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What you have to consider is the underdecided voters in polls. It has been shown that 2 to1 of undecided voters in polls with vote against the current president. This pushes Kerry into the lead.
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