GoFuckYourself.com - Adult Webmaster Forum - View Single Post - Football season has started! Who will win it all?

evelknievel · 09-28-2004, 12:58 PM

J-E-T-S, Jets, Jets, Jets

The New York Jets will win Super Bowl XXXIX.

Sure, at first this appears to be the biggest homer pick of the century, but don't most accurate Super Bowl picks result from some sort of homerism?

Think about it: In the past five Super Bowls, only three Super Bowl-bound teams were expected to make the Super Bowl in the beginning of the year (Tampa Bay and Oakland in 2003, and St. Louis in 2000). Only one of those three actually won a Super Bowl (Tampa Bay 2003).

The rest of the Super Bowl winners could've only been picked by fans.

However, not making the playoffs does not mean a team will have a better chance at winning a Super Bowl. The purpose of those numbers is to try and discredit all those experts who base their Super Bowl picks mostly on the past season. A team's performance in a previous season is a good source for upcoming predictions, but things change so much between January and September that the past season could only tell so much.

Again, those numbers only give some hope to the New York Jets, who finished 6-10 in 2003. The main reason this team can win it all is because of the man taking the snaps. Chad Pennington is one of those players that who can spark a whole team. When Pennington is doing well, the rest of the team does well.

There are some quarterbacks who establish their worth in the league by putting up extremely good numbers (i.e. Dan Fouts and Dan Marino), while there are other quarterbacks who have made their name by what's on their finger(s) (i.e. Trent Dilfer and Mark Rypien).

Pennington has the potential to make his name by combining both his ability to put up great numbers (66-percent accuracy and a 95.1 quarterback rating) and the ability to just win - in 2002 Pennington led a 1-4 team to the second round of the playoffs.

09-28-2004, 12:58 PM
evelknievel Confirmed User Join Date: Dec 2003 Posts: 245	J-E-T-S, Jets, Jets, Jets The New York Jets will win Super Bowl XXXIX. Sure, at first this appears to be the biggest homer pick of the century, but don't most accurate Super Bowl picks result from some sort of homerism? Think about it: In the past five Super Bowls, only three Super Bowl-bound teams were expected to make the Super Bowl in the beginning of the year (Tampa Bay and Oakland in 2003, and St. Louis in 2000). Only one of those three actually won a Super Bowl (Tampa Bay 2003). The rest of the Super Bowl winners could've only been picked by fans. However, not making the playoffs does not mean a team will have a better chance at winning a Super Bowl. The purpose of those numbers is to try and discredit all those experts who base their Super Bowl picks mostly on the past season. A team's performance in a previous season is a good source for upcoming predictions, but things change so much between January and September that the past season could only tell so much. Again, those numbers only give some hope to the New York Jets, who finished 6-10 in 2003. The main reason this team can win it all is because of the man taking the snaps. Chad Pennington is one of those players that who can spark a whole team. When Pennington is doing well, the rest of the team does well. There are some quarterbacks who establish their worth in the league by putting up extremely good numbers (i.e. Dan Fouts and Dan Marino), while there are other quarterbacks who have made their name by what's on their finger(s) (i.e. Trent Dilfer and Mark Rypien). Pennington has the potential to make his name by combining both his ability to put up great numbers (66-percent accuracy and a 95.1 quarterback rating) and the ability to just win - in 2002 Pennington led a 1-4 team to the second round of the playoffs.