Quote:
Originally posted by loverboy
you got that very well laid. time will only tell if our predictions are right.
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As always.
The latest information that I have on hurricane Ivan indicates a more northeasterly turn, which will bring it to bear on the Miami/Dade county area. I can only hope that this information is incorrect and the hurricane will take a different track.
Official Advisory:
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.4 WEST OR ABOUT 435 MILES...
700 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS.
IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 22 MPH ...35 KM/HR...AND A
WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE
APPROACHING THE ISLANDS IN THE WARNING AREA TOMORROW MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
Three-day model:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics...h/AL0904W+GIF/
Five day model:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics.../AL0904W5+GIF/
But as can be seen here, things are still up in the air about the final approach of Ivan. There are models that say it may become a Gulf storm, and yet others that say it may become an oceanic storm.
http://maps.wunderground.com/data/im...0409_model.gif
We can only watch, wait, and hope. I'll drop whatever new information I can get as soon as I can get it.