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My opinion is based on mainstream porn, not on obscure fetishes/niches.
For the Internet delivery method of porn there will be a growing realisation by the established porn companies that the Internet is the future and PRESENT. They have largely ignored it up until recently but that will not remain.
Some will prosper like Hustler, Score, Private and some will get it wrong and come back to try again, like some are doing right now.
The days of the small sites, except in fetishes, are numbered. The days of people throwing up a site with 200 sets they bought in a content blow out are also numbered.
Todays membership surfer is no longer a "Virgin" he's belonged to sites before and has had his expetancy levels set. We can no longer fool him as we did two years ago.
Exclusive is not that important, unless you have a budget to put up 2-6 exclusives a day. The surfer does want good porn he has not seen before and around 4-10 sets/videos a day. Those who go out and research their supply market, buying and publishing the right product when it's released are the ones who will go forward.
10 non-exclusive sets or videos = $500 approx
10 exclusive sets or videos a day = $5,000 approx
And putting the same girl on a diffent sofa or sucking a different dick/cameraman does not make it exclusive content. The sheer budget requirements of keeping up with a site researching and buying and publishing new content will win out in the end. Assuming we are talking mainstream porn.
As for the US Goverment stopping the porn Internet, I think you will fing non US companies ready and willing to fill the void. Nothing will be done to stop the US surfer accessing porn.
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