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Blair will stick around until the Labour party is ellected for a third time and then he will go. He will have then put himself firmly in the history books.
This was a war based punishment in many ways but also there is the case that any party after this many years starts to lose its grip on the voting public. Plus, remember that when a general election is called there will be a much larger voter base. The kind of people that vote in the smaller elections tend to be more conservative voters (or politcal junkies like me).
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