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well 10% sounds like a "sky is falling" analogy, not to say that it's not possible, but you have like 5 things cited, and all of them have to go exactly by the books for the fallout you mention. I think the acacia thing will eventually die down, just look at whats happening with SCO and IBM, the judge is finally requesting the actual code that infringes on the license to be presented and SCO is of course having a hell of a time finding it, hence the entire lawsuit may be dropped. Visa regulations we'll see how that goes, I dont think they want to close down the entire adult industry because that's a ton of money for them, but certainly chargebacks have been an issue and they are addressing that in a manner thats most profitable and least cost expensive for them. It's certainly already had massive reprocussions but mostly for programs that weren't exactly upfront about everything, such as trials converting to full memberships, difficult to find cancellation, etc. There were plenty of programs running that werent near the 1% before those regulations kicked in that had nothing to fear. So yes a few scammers and a few less than honest people got hit, but then again if you make your money scamming you shouldn't consider that a reliable and dependant source of income.
As for the spamming, that one is still to new, but if anything spam regulation and prosecution has been anything but clear, quick, and decisive, so yes there may be one or two scape goats, or one or two real trials, but it's not going to hit everyone quickly.
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