Quote:
Originally Posted by BAKO
Curious where everyone thinks the industry is heading over the next 5 years.
A few things already changing fast:
• AI girlfriends and AI creators
• Telegram/private monetization replacing OF for some creators
• SEO traffic getting harder
• Tube traffic shifting more mobile and short-session
• Mainstream ad restrictions getting tighter
• VR/interactive content slowly growing
• Fewer large affiliates, more automated media buying
• AI generated content flooding tubes and socials
Questions for everyone:
• What business models survive long term?
• Will real creators always outperform AI?
• Will traffic become more expensive or cheaper?
• What ad formats will dominate in 2030?
• Does OnlyFans still lead in 5 years?
• Are tubes becoming entertainment brands instead of porn sites?
• Does Telegram/private communities replace subscription platforms?
• Will AI chat companions become bigger than cams?
Would be interesting to hear opinions from publishers, affiliates, networks, creators, and dirty GFY webmasters that have been in the business for years    
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Good list, but crazy you didn't mention the fact that virtually every country on Earth is going to absolute war on porn and trying to get the industry effectively closed down. THAT'S the biggest challenge.
For example, already there are lobby groups campaigning to have AI companions banned, and first attempts at legislation:
https://www.reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/...l_to_felonize/
But yes, if they survive the legislation then AI companions will surely become much bigger than cams. It's only just getting started.
Sites like OnlyFans will have to ensure that the subscriber can trust that the content is real and not AI, which will likely be impossible in the long run.
Smartglasses are taking off really fast, already starting to dwarf VR headset sales. In a couple of years you can have an AI AR girlfriend constantly with you on your glasses.
In five years time (I know it's always in five years time) sex robots might finally be here. Most likely, the home help humanoid robots like Tesla and Figure will start becoming popular in homes and there will be a market for "add ons", including "skins".