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Originally Posted by k0nr4d
I don't know man. They have oil, they have food, they have gas. They are hardly fucked. Banning facebook and instagram was a present for VK. They might not be able to buy oranges in winter anymore but i don't think they are seriously fucked in any way because the country is self-sustaining.
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Here is the problem for Russia.. Russia didn't run any of its own production for oil & gas. They handled very little of it. That's why all the big oil/gas companies were in Russia because they did it.
That's not something you just "nationalize" then figure out how to run it in 3 weeks. Their production will grind to a slow down.. Added to this they can have all the oil in the world but they can't ship any of it. The sanctions have stopped the shipping of Russian oil because no one will insure the ships even if Russia had a buyer.
Next.. how long do you think it will be before Ukraine guys start hitting Russia's oil/gas infrastructure just like the insurgents do in the middle east? Saudi Arabia just had a refinery attacked 2 days ago.. How long do you think it will be before Ukraine is doing these kinds of attacks inside Russia?
They won't do them now, because they still hope for some way out of this by diplomacy. However, once Ukraine loses Kyiv if they do, then it really free's Ukraine's defense forces up to actually start counter-attacking rather than just defending.. Holding Kyiv serves a purpose to bleed the Russian military and to provide morale for Ukraine. However, if it gets captured then it actually frees up Ukraine to start carrying out insurgent attacks inside Russia & Belarus