Quote:
Originally Posted by Coup
The problem with that is that when the national polls move, the polls on a state-by-state basis tend to move in tandem.
The electoral map isn't looking so hot for her any more either.
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The Republicans are happy when the polls move in favor of Trump because they are more afraid of losing the House and Senate than losing to Hillary. The closer the national poll the better it is for the down ballot candidates.
Check out this site.
ElectoralVote
He has all the polls, updated each day, and unless the state is an absolute tie he gives it to one or the other candidate.
When you do the math using that map it shows Trump getting 274 electoral votes if he wins every state that is a toss up.
One thing that could help Trump immensely is that in Philly there is a mass transit strike so busses, trains, subways etc are currently not running. If the strike is still going on election day a lot of voters may not be able to make it to the polls and it is too late to request an absentee ballot. The cities are Clinton's big areas so that could hurt her.
Even if we use RCP's map that shows Virgina and Pennsylvania in play, All Clinton has to do is win Pennsylvania and Florida and she wins. If she loses one of those states she still has a ton of paths to victory whereas Trump only has a few.
If I were a Trump supporter I would be excited. 10 days ago it looked like this election was over and now he is back in it. Likewise, if I were a Hillary supporter I would be worried because, to me, this is the first time in this election since the Republican convention that it has actually looked close.