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I have said for a long time now the national poll isn't that big of a deal at this point. At this point, it is all about the battleground states. Basically, Trump has to win every battleground state in order to win. If he loses even one battleground state he can't win unless he offsets that by taking a blue state away from Hillary and at this point it doesn't look like that is going to happen. Quite the opposite, in fact, Texas, Arizona, Alaska, Georgia, and South Carolina are all within 5 points. Those are all state he should be easily winning. So, in addition to having to win every battleground state, he has to hope he doesn't lose any of those states in the process.
He can win, and I think this last email announcement by the FBI might have hurt Clinton and helped him, but Trump has a serious uphill battle in front of him.
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