Quote:
Originally Posted by Biggy
I don't believe there is a causal relationship between how many people show up at rallies, and how the election turns out. I think its a matter of fundamentals, for whatever reason, that Republican rallies draw big audiences, and Democrat rallies do not. For example , as a whole Republicans can have a lot more enthusiasm for showing up to rallies, but that does not mean there are more people voting Republican than Democrat. It just means more people show up at rallies. I believe during Obama vs Romney I was hearing the same. Romney rallies were huge, Obama's were half full. And he won by a landslide in the electoral college.
How much have you personally bet on the election? You can get some great odds if you believe so strongly about it.
|
It is fact that the Republican turnout in the primaries was a record turnout and the Democrats had a low turnout. In fact it was damn near an even turnout nationwide despite there there bring a lot more registered dems. With that being said the pollsters aren't factoring that in. Even if they were they would still be oversampling. Clinton is behind in the polls now.. No doubt. And this is based on polls before Friday.