Nate Silver of 538 Gives Trump 2% chance of being Republican Nominee
2% Chance
Nate Silver on how he screwed up on Trump
Oops
How 538 readjusted polls after the fact to benefit Clinton
Polls being readjusted
As for arguing about polls, how about the recent accuracy of polling. Brexit was losing in all the major polls before the election, and we saw how that turned out. How many state primaries did not follow the polls just this year? Last year the Democrat candidate for Governor of KY led in every mainstream poll by 5% or more right up until the election, but lost by over 9% - meaning every single mainstream poll in that state was wrong by at least 14% or more. And yet you guys want to keep arguing over polls?