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My Predictions
With all that is going on in this biz, here are my predictions:
1. Affiliate programs
Programs will continue to be in business, but the owners will get less and less traffic from affiliates. It's almost impossible as it is now for a affliiate to make a gallery, get it listed and actually make a profit with all the increased shaving/scrubbing. Smaller and newer affiliate programs will have the hardest time getting people to promote their programs. These owners will have to seek out non-traditional sources of traffic.
2. New paysites
I think we will see a big influx of new paysites because of the above. Affiliates are getting fed up with all the scrubbing/shaving. A small paysite requires little investment. Look for many new cheap plugins to accomadate these new paysites. Just like starting a TGP, in the near future starting a paysite will require little or no money.
3. TGP's
Already most TGP's are sending as much traffic as is possible to their own galleries, sponsor hosted galleries and paid spots. The days of free gallery listings for gallery makers is all but kaput. TGP's have shown a history of being the most flexable sites in this biz, they will continue to gobble up most of the available adult traffic. Anyone who thinks that TGP's do not control the majority of adult traffic are not facing reality.
4. Free hosts
Free hosts will soon be extinct. Just got a email a few days back about Gamma shutting down their free hosts. If a sponsor owned free host can't turn a profit on free hosting, then that says a lot. Gamma is a top notch and very smart company. Sometimes it's best to bail out before the ship sinks.
5. Big paysites
Like Nasty, CEcash, etc will continue to survive and grow. They have the resources and traffic to make things happen. But they too will have to go to untraditional sources of traffic. What few affiliates that do not start their own paysites, will become very picky about where they send thier traffic. Tours with less aggresive tactics will be the choice of most affilates. Those affilaites will be the owners of free sites, and do not want thier surfers jerked around. If they don't get a sale they want the surfer back.
6. PPS versus partner
More and more affiliates will pursue PPS programs. I for one have in the past and will do so even more now. No processor can be trusted to be around in 1 month. History tells us this. While some Sponsors like Angelgreen is paying out the webmasters despite the loss of money from Globill, most will not. I got news for the guys who do not: YOU ARE STILL RESPONSIBLE. You chose the processor and the debt is yours. Try passing along the responsibility to Globill if this were not the adult business. your clock would get cleaned in court. It is YOUR RESPONSIBILTY to make sure the affiliate gets paid.
Sorry for the rant, if you disagree with my predictions that's cool, I am probably 100% wrong on them all anyway. LOL
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