Quote:
Originally Posted by ITraffic
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/02/24/googl...-labor-vc.html
"Manual labor is going to end in our lifetime, and in this video you can see how close we really are. It's a huge societal issue with jobs, but it's going to be a huge lift in terms of efficiency of companies that nobody expected."
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This can only be true in repetitive movements. You'd have to understand how the brain works to get a grasp on how far we are from actual AI.
It will never happen in our lifetimes. We have to be careful to separate "that looks real" from "can it actually think".
People are responding to something that looks more human in its movement and response, but most of what you experience internally when you watch the video an illusion and projection, not reality. I mean people even feel a twinge of "thats wrong" when he hits it with a hockey stick or moves to the box, even though its just plastic and metal. That should tell you a little about how we are projecting human qualities onto the plastic and metal, not making an objective evaluation of whats going it.
Our brains are often called "the most complex organization of matter in the universe" for a reason. Our brains are not computers. Are brains are living tissue which builds and rebuilds, wires and re-wires itself on a second to second basis. This is in part what makes our brains highly adaptive. A computer can only follow an instruction set. Creating increasingly complicated instruction sets won't make it anything close to the capabilities of a brain and the information processing of a brain. Until we can simulate a brain in how it works, a computer cannot create or simulate a brain. Remember, IBM created a computer the size of an upright refrigerator / freezer to play chess and it lost to a 3.3 pound lump of fat and water. That 3.3 pound lump burns less energy than a 60 watt light bulb, where the massive computer and all its processing instantly overheated. That computer was processing over 100,000 moves per second while the 3.3 pound lump of fat and water was thinking about chess, whats for dinner, the press tour afterwards, translating thoughts from Russian to English and back again AND doing so while managing another 10-11,000,000 internal processes at once, firing neurons a rate of many many many quadrillions of times per day.