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All of this is a lot of guesswork.
I did see something today on CNN about Trump's track record being very similar Romney's, and of course Romney lost. However, that is like comparing apples to pineapples. Winning the nomination of political party is one thing, but running a presidential campaign is completely another thing. One involves winning over a single political party, the other is winning over the majority of the nation.
You can also argue that Romney didn't loose because he ran a bad campaign or wasn't "good enough"; It's entirely possible he lost only because the general population was still made at the Republican party for Bush and or the recession that happened under Bush's watch. Perhaps he was the right candidate at the wrong time.
Keeping in mind that a lot can change between now and November.... All polls seem to say the same thing - Trump will win the Republican nomination, Hillary will win on the Democrat side, it will be Trump vs Hillary, and Hillary will win.
It's going to be fun and interesting to watch for sure.
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