Quote:
Originally Posted by VRPdommy
The problem Trump faces is that even with a total of 35% of the vote and if anyone else gets at least 20% of the votes, they will take it from him at the convention.
|
There are some states where winner takes all (like SC), for example Florida - Trump is leading polls there.
So even if Trump cruises on 35% in all states he still would have much more in delegate count.
Trump?s Remorseless Delegate Math Means Rubio and Cruz Are Screwed - The Daily Beast
He may collect 50%+ majority.
You mention "under 40%". I am absolutely certain it will be more than 40%. Only question - bellow or above 50%.
As for if convention is contested and Trump is in high lead (but not 50%+) - he may have a card of threatening to go independent. He pledged he won't, but he may say that GOP treated him unfairly since he had most of the delegates etc etc.
Just an idea actually. An idea of why GOP might be afraid not to hand it to Trump if he was in high lead.