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Old 03-23-2015, 04:53 PM  
kane
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Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: portland, OR
Posts: 20,684
Quote:
Originally Posted by Axeman View Post
Not true at all. The base of the Republicans stay home too if they are not happy. Romney lost because the base stayed home. Both Democrats and Republicans stay home if they are not happy.

Midterms are a tough thing for Democrats though. Midterm elections tend to skew older and only the die hards. The older you are, the more you skew Republicans and they get a bigger turnout usually as a result. Again unless pissed, like 06 where you had Republicans pissed at Bush for his and congress spending out of control, and you had Democrats pissed with the wars and losing 04.

But yes you are right about McCain and Romney and any RINO that is a Democrat really, but runs and campaigns are conservatives. They try to win moderates but lose their base, and lose elections. Christie and Bush are this years. Even Scott Walker is jello on a lot of issues. You can see McCain by the way starting to act very conservative again, as he is up again in 16. Does it everytime.
I'm always reminded of what Karl Rove once said. While talking about how modern day republicans win elections he said something to the effect of, "Pander to the base, then move just enough to the middle to get the more right leaning moderates and then pray for rain on election day."

He knows if a republican can make the base happy they will turn out and vote. If there is a low voter turnout it almost always favors the republicans because of this. Like you said, the republicans tend to do better in the mid-terms because it is older and more hardcore, base-oriented voters.

The challenge it seems today's republican presidential candidates have is making that base happy, yet still being able to appeal to enough moderates to carry the battleground states.
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