Quote:
Originally Posted by JA$ON
Its never that bad, LOL. Thats what they said about robots and automation. Jobs are lost when robots take over building things humans used to build (cars etc)......then jobs are created in technology, manufacturing, sales , accounting etc etc etc at the companies who build the robots. Jobs disappear, new ones are created in new and different industries. Things SHIFT and SHUFFLE, but there has been no net loss of jobs as a result of technology.
|
Unfortunately that simply isn't true.
Globalization does cause job loss in one place and job gain in other places. Automation is a very different event. It causes tremendous job loss overall with a very small corrolary gain elsewhere. In fact, the real problem is that automation accelerates itself. The metaphorical example is a robot built to fix other robots.
3D printing won't cost as many jobs as some expect, because many of those jobs have already been automated at the industrial level. What wll cost an obscene amount of jobs is the driverless car, and it's coming very soon.
When all truckers, bus drivers, cab drivers and commercial drivers are replaced by automated vehicles the job loss will be astronomical. Especially when you factor in the efficiency of cars that take themselves for service, almost never have accidents on the road, optimize fuel usage and reduce the need for gas stations, car dealerships and so on.
In the next 25 years another 10-15 percent of the population will no longer be needed. That's on top of the roughly 25% that is already surplus. Compared against 6-8% idle population 25 years ago... And that number will accelerate over time.
We are incredibly good at doing more with less, and efficiency breeds greater efficiency. Unless you are capable of creating something from nothing, actually inventing something... You can and will soon be replaced.
