Quote:
Originally Posted by dyna mo
all valid points, although I thought the trend began with roosevelt in the 40s. Nevertheless, the other mitagating factor behind my prediction is the dem party has taken a bigger hit due to obama, than the republican party has, a look at obama statistics support this. Also, peeps forget how close the latest pres election was.
All of those tied together = a republican victory.
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The most recent presidential election wasn't all that close. Obama got 5 million more votes and the final electoral vote count was 332-206.
That said, of course the republicans can win. If they can take back Virginia, win Florida and Ohio that is a 60 electoral vote in their favor. The problem is that isn't enough. They still need to win either Colorado, New Mexico or Iowa. With legal weed I think Colorado is out of reach, but they might be able to win either of those other two states.
As the map sits it is an uphill battle, but they have a shot. The key for them will be picking a candidate that can get some of the moderate independents to vote for them.