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Raws vs uniques are extremely odd. Is there a reason for this on your side? If you can't think of one try to set up some outbound hit tracking where you can track IPs and find out how many uniques you really are sending.
I would go with your gut. No those kind of swings aren't normal. It's somewhat normal for the beginning and end of the month to be better but not like that. After doing this for so long your instincts are likely to be correct. Trust them.
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