Well here is my opinion (i'm not pro putin but i would perhaps do the same thing):
- First: we have syria, venezuela and ukraine: they are more and less friends with Russia (at least when Ianoukovitch was the leader)
In a short period of time these countries had revolutions and it seems to be revolutions that benefit to the USA or the Europe side. It involves a loss of power for russia while putin like to show his muscles.
This is just not the image of Russia he wants to give to the world: he wants to looks strong but his allies are taken down by forces that are not for him.
This is the first reason why i would show "my" muscles too: to keep my influence, to show that i'm here and that i'm a country that matters.
-2 During the war in libya there was a vote at the UN security council.
They voted to prevent a massacre and in fact France (UK too i think), used this as an excuse to sustain a revolution.
So... we lied in our diplomaty and we tried to restart the same trick with syria.
This could be seen as an insult toward china and russia, 2 countries that want to be leaders meanwhile we have here in europe an economic crisis. We were already playing with them.
3- Do you know what you can do when you think that you are getting economically weaker ?
Well, if you have still a good army, you can try to expand your influence and this is what... france did in libya, but also in mali and in Central African Republic (yes, they speak french, so we have to help them, don't worry their opponents aren't very strong and there is a lot of guys of these countries in our armies...).
Who claimed here that france is hitler ? We are doing the same thing...
Oh yes, there is terrorists...
Of course, USA is used to do this too...
Even for france, being a totally downgraded country is not an option for us too...
(You can expect here a problem of ressources that USA and Russia won't have or at least far later).
China and Russia understand our politics like this too, so they have to prevent a loss of influence because of OUR wars.
You can try to manipulate civilians with the same goal, it is even cheaper.
Since we have 3 countries of the russian block that have a revolution in a short period of time, they can imo legitimately find this as an imperialistic move...
This is also why i think that WE started these aggressions, even if i would probably do the same thing here too (it is just playing with other pawns)
-4
Quote:
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"If Putin wants Crimea, it would be a lot easier to do it peacefully than by force. Seems seventy percent of Crimea identifies themselves with Russia"
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So like i wrote before, putin wants to show his muscles, so this is the first reason to come with an army, perhaps at least to prevent a further agression: i don't think he will stop and i wouldn't stop either.
Second reason: there is revolutions in countries that are his allies and i think he understand that russia is the next in the list, so if you feel menaced you strike before it's too late and at least before you are too weak yourself !
(It's weird that suddently gays are friends of our countries, they seem to be a good excuse for diplomacy)
I think that his goal is not war but the goal is to impress its opponents: it's a stop signal.
3rd reason: there is revolutions among his allies, so he can comes and explain "i have to protect the russians in crimea" + urkrainians removed to russian as langage, so these russians speaking ukrainian could feel rejected/unsulted.
I heard that many of them are only russian-speaking.
There is a legitimate reason to expect a revolution is crimea and putin can come and explain that he is here to prevent it.
conclusion: expect 2 blocks in a near future...