This column by Peggy Noonan, a Reagan speech writer, swayed me, mostly her observations about Obama's personality and psyche through the campaign - definitely not scientific but I have noticed the same things. Romney has looked, sounded like the candidate with a mission and passion for what he's doing. Obama looks like a guy who's trapped out on a golf course all day on some corporate golf outing, his round is going horribly and he wants off the course but has to go through the day or look bad and leave.
Nate Silver's revised numbers tonight put Obama's chance of winning at 91%
http://blogs.wsj.com/peggynoonan/201...onday-morning/