Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill8
The real question is, how much is america prepared to spend, as a country, to stop iran from getting a nuke.
We can launch penetrator attacks on their facilities - that would cost us, say, a few billion. Might work, might not - lets say it does work.
Does iran then start a campaign of blocking hormuz shipping? Probably. Do we then start a general campaign to try to stop this - and how much does all that cost? and how long is the price of oil kept at significantly higher levels? A year? Two? Four?
Do all the shia then go crazy? Maybe they will, but, except for iraq, the shia dont control that much oil - so, if we are willing to pay higher prices for oil, do we really care of the shia are killing every american they can get their hands on? I dont care, personally - you have to be an idiot to be an american in shia territory.
Are we prepared to invade and occupy iran to keep them docile?
Personally I think you war guys should attack. I figure it will cost the US another 4-5 trillion - which just brings the collapse of the empire that much closer.
So go for it.
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I have no idea how much we are willing to spend or how far we are willing to go, but I think one of the main goals of our country is to try to play the long game, wait out the old leadership and hope the youth of Iran is more reasonable.
60% of Iran's population is under 30 years old. Many of these people are much less radical religiously than their elders. The hope is that over the next 10-15 years as this huge group comes to power they will make Iran a more open society that is willing to be reasonable in dealing with WMDs and nuclear power.