Quote:
Originally Posted by IllTestYourGirls
Anyone who thinks Romney can win is misinformed. The mainstream media keeps saying the race is close but the fact is if you look at the electoral vote break down Obama is running away with it. He has well over a 100 electoral vote lead over Romney.
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It kind of reminds me of the 2008 election when they talked about how close it was and Obama thrashed McCain. Yes, the polls show that it is close in the popular vote, but, like you say, when you look at the electoral vote breakdown Obama is kicking his ass.
the guy that runs fivethirtyeight.com is a statistician and does a ton of work with polling. He has been pretty much dead on in the last few elections. Right now he has the odds at Obama 75% chance to win and Romney 25% chance to win.
The only way I can see that changing is if something major happens to Obama in a negative way or somehow Romney can pull off a miracle.
The media wants to make it seem closer than it likely will be because it gives them plenty to talk about and get ratings with.