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Originally Posted by epitome
While I get what you're saying, I've seen the numbers of quite a few sites (actual numbers from logging into CCBill, etc. to help them) and have found that it's really hard to predict what people are doing. I've seen some sites where they are making good money and it makes absolutely no sense to me. I've seen others where I thought they were bigger but ended up doing nothing like I had them pegged at.
I've seen an Alexa 900k paysite that does better than an Alexa 100k one.
Now I have heard that solo is these days and I imagine it is. A girl can make good money on cam and while in the past she would focus more on her site, these days she's probably more focused on cam.
Just trying to say that it's very hard to judge a book by its cover in this industry.
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When youre heavily involved in the niche, it helps you understand a bit more because you know where all the affiliates are that have traffic and can send sales (in the niche) and you can see how often theyre content is being put on there, you can see where they rank on the site, you can compare ratios and rebill ratios with them (there are a few ok with sharing) If youre signed up to them and actively promote them, you can also see how often theyre sending out promo gals
When you closely pay attention to other sites as you go (which i do), its easier than if you just tried to judge a site without really being involved in the niche or followed. Im not saying i could just look at met-art and know what its grossing, if i were to guess, i know i woldn't be remotely close, same with basically every other site outside this niche. But because im involved with the affiliates of solo, involved heavily on the affiliate side and paysite side. Its not hard to gather enough data to get a ballpark, given that traffic numbers are public and the business model is nearly identical.
Also its not about alexa ranking, it's about traffic reach. Thats their traffic levels basically. Alexa's traffic levels have been nearly on spot with every site ive ever owned in adult, hundreds, if not thousands of tgps and mgps in the past. So I do trust in its ability to give me a good estimation of traffic levels