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haha.. "i did X and 9 months later..."
Bounce rates are far from a major factor. For example, many TGPs still dominate some competitive search results. The major factors for google haven't changed much since 1998 - backlinks, anchor text, page titles, headings, text in body, site structure/link structure etc. All that has changed for the most part is how the value of links are calculated as well as better means at detecting devaluing spam links.
In 9 months, most of the adult internet changes from a search engines perspective as ALL of the links and value of links back to your sites are constantly changing and everything around your site is constantly in flux. Hardly scientific to look at an ocean and say "i sneezed and 6 months later a dead fish washed up on the beach, so therefore...."
It seems that almost everyone in this industry can't seem to understand that your site doesn't exist in a vacuum. Its part of the general matrix of adult sites, all are interconnected and interlinked and as new sites come and go, links come and go etc etc etc... all sites are affected and move up and down. Your site is going to move no matter what you do, unless you have enough good backlinks to hold it above the normal turmoil.
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Yes, fewer illegal immigrants working equates to more job opportunities for American citizens.
Rochard
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