Quote:
Originally Posted by Nautilus
I'm not sure were do you see the effect of piracy there, please clarify your point.
Those facts you cited sound to me like a normal evolution of a mature market. US population hasn't exploded in the recent couple of decades so where the new movie goers that they can sell more movie tickets to should be coming from? When about the same amount of tickets is sold, that sounds like a norm to me. As well as the rest of the facts, which could be explained by competition forcing them to spend more on production and advertising and also to produce more movies to reach more market segmets.
About the same happened in adult too when people started to produce more niche sites when mainstream content market hit saturation. And when niches reached saturation too, and no more reserves for explosive growth were available, market remained stable for a couple of years with about the same amount of subscriptions being sold, but companies had to keep spending more to produce more of that niche content to keep their market share. I'm talking of pre-piracy times now. Then the piracy hit and everything went to hell. But in pre-piracy era, from my observations, what was happening pretty much mimics what you just described happened in mainstream movie tickets sales market.
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To me it seems like if you improve the movie-going experience with nicer theaters, better screens and better sound you would think more people would want to go. Also the increase in the the number of movies released should increase the overall number of ticket sales. But that is not happening. The studios are making more movies, spending more on marking and spending more on the theaters themselves just to tread water.
When you look at the numbers to me it seems like it is one of two reasons. A. People would rather just wait and buy/rent it on DVD or B. they are downloading it and getting it for free.
So to me it appears piracy has had an effect. It can't be proven, but when you are making more product just to sell the same amount something is wrong down the pipeline.