Quote:
Originally Posted by kane
Newt likely can't get much support from the religious right which means he can't win the early primaries that are in the bible belt. For him to win the nomination he is going to have to raise enough money so that he can hang around until later March/April when the primaries move to the more moderate/progressive states. I don't think he is capable of raising that kind of money. Also he is going to have to convince the Tea Party that he is not just another big government republican and so far they don't seem to be buying it.
He has a major uphill battle ahead of him.
If he pulls it off, the current polls show him trailing Obama by 13 points. That is going to be a huge gap to make up.
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I agree he needs money but there is still a ton of money on the sidelines he could tap into if he becomes the "not romney" candidate.
Also, I think you're wrong about the religious right. If Cain is out, the choice will be newt or the rhino mormon. I'm liking his odds in that scenario.
And I don't think he has a problem with the tea party. he's pretty inline with them and has his original contract with america as street cred.
It will be interesting. I just think his road just got easier if cain is now out