Newt likely can't get much support from the religious right which means he can't win the early primaries that are in the bible belt. For him to win the nomination he is going to have to raise enough money so that he can hang around until later March/April when the primaries move to the more moderate/progressive states. I don't think he is capable of raising that kind of money. Also he is going to have to convince the Tea Party that he is not just another big government republican and so far they don't seem to be buying it on a grand scale. . . although he is getting some love from them.
He has a major uphill battle ahead of him.
If he pulls it off, the current polls show him trailing Obama by 13 points. That is going to be a huge gap to make up.
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