Quote:
Originally Posted by Paul Markham
Very good point. They don't give a fuck at the moment if paysites decline. The problem with your thinking is it's very short term, maybe that's how it is now. Make sure you can pay the bills this week and fuck the week after. Never used to be like that.
They are industry people though. So still industry people to blame.
The interesting thing for most will be, if paysites carry on falling. Will free content for people running Tubes will dry up. Piracy doesn't have a real problem. The big Tubes who could afford to but content, don't have a problem. They have all the content they need and can buy more from failing websites.
Will the advertisers pay more for advertising to pay for legit content on Tubes?
Now here's another problem. As the value of the free porn falls, how many sites will open Tubes turning their paysites into Tube?
People of my size don't really have enough.
Will couple of similar got together and pooled resources? Plus I'm sure they can rely on a few "users" to upload. So the growth in Tubes is an option. Same advertising revenue spread thinner.
Free doesn't creates buyers, it takes buyers from others. So more people competing for the same buyers traffic, not free loaders traffic. Only a minute % of those looking at Tubes buy.
Can dating and webcam support the costs of the Tubes with their own content?
Will the free model kick in further for dating and cam sites?
IF and it's a big if. The support for Tubes falls, will customers have to come back to buying? Or will the free model slim itself down to a slimmer model?
One thing is for sure, no one knows. And don't commit yourself to long term debts. That's the best long term thinking people in porn can do today. Clear the debts and save hard.
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As long as they're making money, tubes can license/buy old content libraries.. they can produce their own porn for cheap in foreign countries.. As things continue and consolidate, a handful of companies will end up controlling the vast majority of the traffic... Like most other businesses, they will become "slow", revenues will go down etc. but they have a monopoly at that point and can charge a premium. They can, and do, have their own paysites that they can charge a premium for by promoting the higher quality etc.. They sell memberships on the tubes themselves for faster access and downloadable videos. There are lots of things they can and will do in order to make money from all that traffic they now control... Of course eventually that model will begin to change as smaller tubes will go under, be bought by the bigger guys etc and it will slowly begin to die just as the old model has. At that point there will either be something new that comes along, or the older model (in some alternate form) might rise again. It's the way of most markets/biz models.