Quote:
Originally Posted by glamourmodels
Oh, silly Ethersync... don't you listen to the talking heads and the GFY pundits? Ron Paul cant win.
Oh, wait. I know the problem... you can read, unlike most zombies who soak up the media spoon fed lie that actually according to Rasumussen Ron Pal polls at 41% compared to Obama's 42%... and that was a year ago when a lot less people even knew Paul's name and the economy at least "appeared" better.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/publ...42_ron_paul_41 |
That is old
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...andidates.html
This is an average of all polls and it was last updated on 7/17 so it isn't as up to date as we would hope but it shows Obama beating Paul 49% to 38%. That is about the same as Bachman and Perry are running against him. Romney, on the other hand, is only about 3 points behind.
I will believe that Paul has a shot at winning the election when I see two things happen.
1. He starts to pander to the far right. Like it or not they control the republican primaries in the first stages because somewhere around 10 of the first 12 primary states are in the bible belt where the evangelicals have a strong foothold. He will need to either convince them to vote for him (which is unlikely now with both Bachman and Perry in the race) or he will have to raise enough money to survive those states and hope he can make up the delegates when the election moves to the more progressive states where he would have more support.
2. Speaking of money, he will need to start holding big fundraisers and allow the machine to work for him. It will likely take around 100-150 million dollars to win the nomination. If he can't raise that much he won't be in the game. It is an admirable stand that he doesn't take money from the big businesses and special interests, but if you want to be in the game you have to be able to spend like the rest of the players.