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Old 07-22-2011, 01:28 PM  
Paul Markham
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Join Date: Jun 2001
Location: On the sofa, watching TV or doing my jigsaws.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mountainmiester View Post
I think they will kill each other. The cost for some of the larger ones runs well into the 6 figures each month and that's with very, very low per unit delivery cost. Most, if not all use a CDN as they have to for their levels of traffic however, the cost of CDN has hit it's bottom at the large wholesale level and is more than likely going to adjust back up slightly.

When you had a few tubes out there, it was easy but now everyone is in the game and many are stealing content from each other.

Between law suits, competition and infrastructure cost, I don't foresee the same model we've been seeing as sustainable. What I do see as successful are the Tube/MGP morphs that are being created to drive traffic back to specific programs meaning that yes, Tubes as we know them, will see incremental declines in traffic per site while overall the market could see some significant attrition of sites but not from user popularity.
We saw it with TGPs. The big ones who started early did very well, some of those that followed soon after did nicely. But loads of them were run by one/two man bands and rarely got up the ladder.

The Hun could cost more on BW than joins, others you were lucky to see a hit. The Hun you had to be good and a little lucky to get on. Others would take anything you gave them.

Same with Tubes. Problem with too many online guys is they always think every TGP did well, like every Tube does well.

We shall see.
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