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Content production and buying has been in decline for 2 years or more. Most of the content that is being created is low level "Girl on a sofa" type content shot for a price rather than it's porn value.
There are a few exceptions but the above fits most.
It will not effect Tubes for a very long while. I don't know the exact figure but let's say last year the US released 10,000 new DVD titles. That's 50,000 new scenes on DVDs that can be uploaded to Tube sites. 136 a day.
Add to it the archives, the companies going out of business and selling cheap, the content owners selling non exclusive and the time for Tubes to run out of content is a long way away.
The decline in good content production for paysites will make them less attractive to join and continue the decline. Why join a site adding or containing uninspiring content when content is available for free on a Tube. And if you don't like one scene you can jump to the next and the next and the ........
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