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Sorry, BFT, you're modeling this wrong.
This is tribal war. People are voting the way they are because of tribal affiliance, and tribal vengance, not out of expectations of future benefit.
Besides, the republicans have a much more serious problem. They've promised jobs by reducing government spending and kicking the lower classes to the curb.
It remains to be seen wether banks will start lending again if the republicans succeed in gutting government spending - let alone wether the republicans will actually cut spending in any real way.
Either way, republicans promised vengance against the liberal elite, tax breaks for the rich, and jobs.
That's their weak point, not health insurance with it's tribal implications.
However, as a weakness, it's not quick. You have to wait and let the republicans try to appease their tribesmen.
And wait to see what happens with corporations and jobs, lending to small business and jobs.
Republicans need to cut a deal with the banks. Promise to let them steal again, and be safe from investigation for future theft, in exchange for easy loans.
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